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Question: Aruba is outside the hurricane belt. How did Felix strike so close?

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Answer#1: I'm tired of telling you ple that no island in the caribbean is going to be 100 %safe from hurricanes.Some just going to get more frequentlyhit than others beacuse of ther strategic location but that dont mean that places such as The ABC island are impossibel to get hit! pfffff


Answer#2: Because Felix can't read maps.


Answer#3: Because hurricane Felix developed at a very low point in the tropics near latitude 11.8 north and longitude 58.6 west,this if it had develop say 10 degrees lower Trinidad would be right in it ,so its no suprise that it has affected the ABC islands,as it moved on a more WNW to NW track.Just because we have a 120 year record dosen't mean that in prehistroric events the islands them selves haven't been hit and that they cannot be hit,the Hurricane belt is there becasue of the amount of count of actual stroms which affect areas by frequency and intesnsity.Who's to tell,look at Hurricane Lenny of Nov, 1999.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Lenny that move from West to east,i could just imagine the loook on the faces of the forcasters.The Hurricane belt is only as good as its History in Weather Observation.I have found an article also to help put "it" in more understandable terms.{The Hurricane belt however dose not mean that islands that far south wont be affected at all,it simply inplies that, that it could happen tomarrow but on a {more} ware occassion.For instance, on Sept. 7, 2004, just before hurricane warnings being posted for the "ABC islands" of the southern Caribbean Sea — Aruba, Bonaire and Curacco — I answered a question from a reader who said his travel agent had told him these islands are "immune" from hurricanes.My answer, in part was: "Some places, and these include the ABC islands, have lower odds of being hit by a hurricane than other places, but they are not immune. Hurricane odds are based on history, and Aruba has a history of very few hurricanes — only six have passed within 62 miles of the island since 1877. This is close enough for at least some effects to be felt." }




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